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Craft-beer goes from boom to gloom; Sam Adams stumbles, but Firestone Walker rumbles

4/15/2017

 
PictureAn oddly prophetic craft brand?
Not that long ago, every article about craft beer painted a bright, booming future for the upstart category. Anything that called itself "craft" was an automatic winner. The number of new breweries just kept going up and up.

Times have changed.

A recent article in Craft Brew News quoted industry insiders--people actually making and selling craft beer--all painting a pretty gloomy picture...

"... there is a shakeout in craft happening at every level."

​
"A reckoning is coming."

"... a coming train wreck...."

It seems the fad-bubble part of the craft-beer saga has burst. While there are still pockets of growth, for many craft brands, "down" is the new "up."

"Negative growth"

As this graph illustrates, year-on-year volume growth for 2016 was less than half what it was just two years ago.​ And the number's been dropping since its 2014 high. If you built a brewery for your new craft beer back then and were projecting continued growth, your business model has been badly whacked.
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Beer Marketers Insights even found an ominous new website: CraftBreweriesForSale.com. Woah.
​
"Negative growth" is a bitch.
What's Sam Adams' response?

Sam Adams founder, Jim Koch, just added to the craft gloom with a whiny New York Times op-ed piece entitled "Is it last call for craft beer?" (Spoiler alert: He blames the bad times on just about everyone except the craft brewers.)

Koch's own brand has been hurting for awhile now. Seeming to recognize the changing times, Sam Adams has changed their advertising. With its volume declining, you might expect they'd put forth their brand's distinctiveness, right? Give you reasons--explicitly or implicitly--to choose Sam Adams instead of the zillions of other craft beer brands. Make Sam Adams seem special.

Or not...
This Sam Adams message is as generic as if it came from the industry association representing the craft-beer category. Generic on ingredients, bearded brewers, and copper brew kettles. And a hip song--"Into the Jungle"-- adding no discernible meaning beyond plagiarizing the Budweiser "Hard Way" vibe. 

Virtually any craft-beer brand could run this ad just by inserting its own logos. So the one brand that is running the ad will get no lift at all from it.
Choosing distinctiveness

Firestone Walker has chosen a different route. In place of a generic "We're a craft beer" effort, the California brewer brought its now wildly successful "805" brand to market on the strength of the beer's distinctiveness. "A light refreshing blonde ale created for the California lifestyle," as the packaging claims. Taking a cue from Goose ​Island's Chicago "312" brand, "805" is the area code for central coastal California. For the time being, "805" is only sold in California, but it's already Firestone Walker's #1 brand.
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The secret to growing your business in a slowing or declining market? Offer people something distinctive, something interesting they can't get from anyone else. Like lighter, more drinkable craft beer from California.

​In other words, the opposite of "generic."

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    The Author

    Dan Fox is a real beer guy.

    For more than half his 30-year career at ad agency, Foote, Cone & Belding, he ran the Coors Brewing account. Leading a group of dozens of advertising professionals, Dan also personally wrote the Pete Coors "Somewhere near Golden, Colorado" commercials, designed the Coors NASCAR graphics, authored sales-convention speeches, and most important of all, formulated marketing strategy for virtually every Coors brand, including Coors Light, Keystone, Killian's Irish Red and more. His proudest achievement? "Our team had every Coors brand growing at once."

    Over his advertising career, Dan was personally involved in the analysis, planning and creation of thousands of ads for a variety of products and services. By way of this blog, he freely shares his expertise about what works, and what doesn't, when it comes to selling beer.

    If you're in the beer-marketing business--or just interested in the subject--you may want to read what "HeyBeerDan" has to say.

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